币圈“巴菲特”

#如果当年没卖那枚BTC？ I remember I entered the crypto space in 2018. Honestly, fellow bears, as an old hodler, I didn’t make money but learned a lot from the market 🥲 Back then, I was brought into the circle by an old friend. I think it was when Fcoin was doing transaction mining. He said it could make money, so I thought, why not, let’s do it! I recall FCoin was started by Zhang Jian from Huobi. I participated and made a small profit, not much, about 0.5 BTC, which was still quite a bit. But I wasn’t satisfied. Later, I heard you could earn BTC by running communities, so I dove in without hesitation. The exchange was called OCX, yes, that exchange, and they were promoting transaction mining 🤡 I was one of the group admins, pulling people in every day, chatting in the group. By mid-month, I earned about 0.2 BTC, or so. Anyway, BTC wasn’t expensive then. I did this for a few months, and gradually I had about 5.4 BTC in hand. Seeing wealth so close was super exciting ❌ Who knew there would be the 312 crash later? I was young and naive, got scared and cut losses immediately, sold my faith, and in the end, lost all my faith too. #如果当年没卖那枚BTC？ Maybe I would have been better off. After all these years in crypto, I’ve only achieved a little, honestly a bit unsatisfied. Fellow bears, are there any old hodlers? Share your stories! #如果当年没卖那枚BTC？ @OKX星球

📉 $BTC Bitcoin Four-Year Halving Cycle Left-Side Positioning Thoughts 1️⃣ Cycle Pattern: The halving is on April 20, 2024. Historical data shows that the peak often appears around the 18th month after the halving, usually followed by about 12 months of bear market bottoming, with the cycle low expected around October 2026. 2️⃣ Price Projection: This cycle's peak is about $126,200. Based on the previous bear market's maximum drop of about 77%, the potential bottom is near $29,000; overall, the $30,000-$60,000 range is a long-term area worth attention, and it is highly likely to break below the previous bull market high of $69,000. 3️⃣ Bottom Characteristics: Historical bottoms often come with extreme noise like "Bitcoin death theory/hashrate attack theory," the fear index drops to around 10, and the market consolidates at the bottom for 2-3 months, with sentiment shifting from fear to numbness. 4️⃣ Strategy Conditions: Personal view—time after October 2026, price between $30,000-$60,000, fear index around 10; when these three resonate, gradually go all-in in batches; then hold until the 2029 bull market materializes, targeting an exit at $150,000-$250,000. 🐻 Brothers, do you think this analysis 📈 is on point? #如果当年没卖那枚BTC？ @OKX星球 $BTC $ETH

$BTC Bitcoin just fell below $75,000 this afternoon 📉, with over 160,000 liquidations in a single day 💥, but the current atmosphere still isn't the bottom. Looking back to 2022 when it dropped to 16,000, that was true despair: the group chat was dead silent, screenshots of account closures flooded social circles, no one dared to show their positions, and no one even had the courage to open the candlestick charts. And today? Although it hurts, everyone is still shouting "epic bottom fishing" and waiting for a rebound to flip the market 🔄. A market that still holds hope like this usually hasn't fully bottomed out ⚠️. Plus, with the new Fed Chair Wash just taking office, inflation fluctuating 🎢, internal hawk-dove conflicts, and macro uncertainty slowly draining confidence 🔥. The real bottom is never the lowest point on the candlestick chart, but when the last batch of bulls lose hope 💀, stop checking their accounts 👀🚫, and when the "bull market" becomes a joke, that's when opportunity arrives. The current market has fallen deep enough, but the sentiment isn't dead enough ☠️. Don't rush, the real bottom often looks least like a bottom. #加息重回讨论桌：沃什就任，年底加息正式定价 $BTC $ETH @OKX星球

Wash takes office, is the market about to change? On May 22, 2026, Kevin Wash was sworn in at the White House as the new chairman of the Federal Reserve, breaking decades of inauguration tradition. He inherits a "hot potato" of rebounding inflation, internal division, and intertwined political pressure. The 56-year-old former Fed governor, bringing a flexible and tough approach of "balance sheet reduction in exchange for rate cuts," is likely to trigger a series of chain reactions in the US stock market, crypto, inflation, and interest rates. Inflation: April CPI rose 3.8% year-on-year, core CPI hit a 6-month high, and Middle East geopolitical conflicts continue to push up oil prices. Wash tends to reassess the inflation framework, possibly replacing short-term indicators with a focus on underlying trends, but truly suppressing inflation will be challenging. Interest rates: Stop just focusing on rate cuts. Wash talks about "setting rules" for balance sheet reduction while leaving symbolic room for rate cuts to give the White House some cover. But the market has already voted with its feet—traders are 100% betting on a 25 basis point rate hike before the end of 2026. The June FOMC meeting will be his first press conference as chair, and a single sentence could shake rate expectations. US stocks: Balance sheet reduction to withdraw liquidity and reduce forward guidance means higher uncertainty and interest rate volatility. High valuation and high leverage sectors should beware of volatile pullbacks; however, if he really implements a "rate cut + balance sheet reduction" combo, some financing-sensitive industries might get some breathing room. Crypto: In a liquidity tightening cycle, risk appetite funds often withdraw first. Wash’s disciplined style combined with expectations of rising rates may put short-term pressure on crypto; but in the long run, if fiat currency credit is questioned, some funds may still flow back into crypto as a hedge option. With the old and new chairmen coexisting, special White House backing, internal division, and inflation pressure—Wash’s first shot in office may not directly target interest rates but could be a reshaping of the Fed’s credibility and market faith. In the coming months, watch every signal from him closely and buckle up. #加息重回讨论桌：沃什就任，年底加息正式定价 @OKX星球 $BTC $ETH $HYPE

$BTC Greenmao lost big again and again Tonight, it’s probably because everyone knows Wash is about to launch Funds are starting to move to safe havens, crypto is very sensitive to capital Greenmao’s $BTC long position is stuck with over 1200 losses 🔪 The live room has been cursing nonstop, feeling really frustrated 🥲 No worries, Wolong isn’t afraid, I, Fengchu, am here with you FIL tricked me again to run #波动雷达：币种异动观察 @天才交易员绿毛 @OKX星球 $BTC

$FIL This thing actually shows signs of a surge In my memory, this thing has repeatedly been a scam, the manipulators have no bottom line at all It fell from a high of 236u to a low of 0.8u, truly a throat-cutting plunge It’s started, set your stop loss, run if it breaks 1u 🏃 Can I still trust this heartless jerk again? #波动雷达：币种异动观察 @OKX星球 $FIL

$WLD has been going long, and the trend currently looks very healthy Aggressive comrades can open positions with me Conservative ones can wait for a short-term pullback $WLD #波动雷达：币种异动观察 @OKX星球

Eight ministries jointly took action, and the business of Futu, Tiger, and Changqiao is completely dead. Today, these three leading companies plummeted 30%-45% before the market opened, evaporating tens of billions in market value in a single day. This is not emotional volatility; the underlying business logic has been directly wiped out. The China Securities Regulatory Commission and seven other departments jointly issued a document implementing three "fatal" rulings: 1. Profit reset to zero: All illegal gains are proposed to be confiscated. It's no longer just a slap on the wrist; every penny earned since starting cross-border business must be returned. 2. Business reset to zero: A 2028 deadline is set. Cross-border business must be "cleared" within two years, existing mainland clients must be withdrawn, and apps and websites must be completely shut down. 3. National-level blockade: The CSRC, central bank, public security, foreign exchange bureau, and other eight departments coordinate, defining the issue as beyond mere violations, directly targeting capital outflow and data security. Simply put, their original sin was opening a "window" for mainland middle-class people who wanted to allocate US and Hong Kong stocks and seek asset hedging. Now, that window has been welded shut. The 45% drop is not panic; the market is pricing in the "closure." The follow-up is very clear: existing holdings must be sold or transferred to overseas accounts; ordinary mainland users wanting to legally buy US and Hong Kong stocks? Basically no chance in the next two to three years, only narrow channels like QDII remain. This is not a fine; this is a clearance. $BTC $ETH $HYPE #超级事件周 @OKX星球

$NEAR capital markets just go up after rising too much, and go down after falling too much You can't catch the absolute top OR bottom Because you're not the house, you don't understand human nature It's okay 😑, just take the fish body Don't even think about catching the full trend, just dance with the house 💃 #波动雷达：币种异动观察 $NEAR @OKX星球

The man known as the "Wall Street Elite" officially took over the Federal Reserve tonight. At 11 PM tonight, the Wall Street veteran Kevin Warsh officially took charge of the Federal Reserve. Don't be fooled by his elite appearance; the cards in his hand are not easy to play. First, looking at the US stock market, the Dow just hit a new all-time high yesterday (50,285.66 points), and the Nasdaq is hovering around 26,293 points. But Warsh is a "disciplinarian"; he has always criticized the Federal Reserve's bloated balance sheet (still close to $7 trillion) and is determined to implement a "balance sheet reduction + interest rate cut" combo. Short-term liquidity will definitely tighten, and those high-valuation growth stocks that have been fueled by massive liquidity injections will likely shake up. Market volatility is about to rise. Now, looking at our crypto space, although this guy opposes central bank digital currencies, he considers Bitcoin an "important asset for policy checks and balances." Currently, $BTC is hovering around $77,000. Warsh's rise means that private crypto innovation won't be strangled by official CBDCs, which is somewhat reassuring. But don't forget, if he really dares to aggressively reduce the balance sheet, a stronger dollar will suppress risk assets, so it won't be easy for BTC to surge immediately. The upcoming market trend will be a race against his "expectations." The June FOMC meeting is his debut, and CME currently shows almost zero probability of a rate cut in June. The market is still wrestling with inflation. I suggest everyone stay calm and watch how he balances "Trump wanting rate cuts" and "inflation not under control." Short-term volatility is inevitable, so buckle up. #WarshNominationConfirmed: The first Fed chair holding crypto $BTC $ETH @OKX星球